Instead of asking "will it hit 6,500?", see the actual odds of it happening — for every price level, every time horizon, each backed by its own confidence score.
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Time Horizon
Drag to widen the distribution
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Price Path & Probability Cone
History → forecast
⚠ The historical path shown (left of "Today") is a synthetic illustrative walk ending at the current price — not real price history. The shaded cone (right of "Today") is the same lognormal model as the ladder below, at 50% / 80% / 95% confidence bands, widening with √time. The price axis is fixed to the ladder's range — a cone that reaches the top/bottom edge means the model's uncertainty already exceeds the levels shown.
Probability Ladder
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Rare (touch < 25%) Possible (25–55%) Likely (> 55%)
Select a price level from the ladder (or click a point on the curve above) to see its touch/close probability, expected time, model agreement, and drivers.