Understanding AIOVEL
How to Read Market Sentiment
Understand Aiovel's Positive, Neutral and Negative sentiment labels, how they reflect market reactions, and why a single headline needs context.
Wiki learning path
Using Aiovel Research Tools
Learn how Aiovel's dated market briefings, sentiment labels, prediction-market views and probability estimates should be interpreted.
7 guides. Start with the introductory topics; follow related links inside each guide.
Understanding AIOVEL
Understanding Prediction Markets
How Polymarket-style odds work, what volume and probability mean, and how to read a market's implied odds.
Understanding AIOVEL
Why AI Doesn't Predict Markets
AIOVEL tags how markets already reacted to news — it does not forecast where prices go next, and there's a rigorous reason no system can reliably do that.
Understanding AIOVEL
Reaction vs Prediction
Markets don't always react the way plain logic says they should — good news can sink a stock and bad news can lift an index. That gap is exactly why measuring reaction beats guessing.
Understanding AIOVEL
Why Headlines Are Misleading
A headline can be perfectly accurate and still tell you almost nothing about why a stock moved, how much it moved, or whether the move is significant at all.
Understanding AIOVEL
How We Classify Stories
A plain-language look at how AIOVEL turns a day's news into sentiment tags — and the rules that keep the process honest.
Understanding AIOVEL
Why One Story Moves Hundreds of Stocks
Most news affects one company. Some news — a Fed decision, an oil shock, a geopolitical flashpoint — reprices hundreds or thousands of securities at once, often in opposite directions.