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Price probability by instrument

Price-level probability estimates for 10 instruments — index futures, ETFs, gold, silver, Bitcoin, EUR/USD and crude. Touch and close-beyond odds across 6 time horizons, from about two years of real daily history. Pick an instrument for its full ladder, or open the interactive map.

All instruments

10 tracked
InstrumentTickerPriceNearest level aboveConfidence
E-mini S&P 500ES7,78869.6% to touch 7,850 (this week)Low
E-mini Nasdaq 100NQ29,84288.8% to touch 30,000 (this week)Low
SPDR S&P 500 ETFSPY77364.0% to touch 780 (this week)Medium
Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ72186.9% to touch 725 (this week)Medium
Gold (Comex)GOLD4,45275.2% to touch 4,500 (this week)Medium
VanEck Gold Miners ETFGDX90.4994.4% to touch 91.00 (this week)Medium
iShares Silver TrustSLV59.4187.4% to touch 60.00 (this week)Medium
BitcoinBTC64,28556.9% to touch 66,000 (this week)Low
EUR / USDEURUSD1.154653.6% to touch 1.1600 (this week)Low
WTI Crude OilWTI82.6184.4% to touch 84.00 (this week)Low