Explore estimated odds of touching each price level across time horizons from Today to Year-End. These are level-by-level estimates, not a prediction of the next price direction.
⚠ The historical path shown (left of "Snapshot") is a synthetic illustrative walk ending at the current price — not real price history. The shaded cone (right of "Snapshot") shows the lognormal volatility model; ladder touch odds additionally blend historical frequencies, at 50% / 80% / 95% model ranges, widening with √time. The price axis is fixed to the ladder's range — a cone that reaches the top/bottom edge means the model's uncertainty already exceeds the levels shown.
Compare distances from the current price: a nearer level is usually easier to reach. Upside and downside levels can both be touched, so their odds do not sum to 100%. Recent gains do not automatically predict further gains. “Agreement” compares methods using the same history; it is not a calibrated confidence score.